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PublicationsBenson, K, Kocagil P, Shortle J. Climate Change and Health in the Mid-Atlantic Region. Climate Research 2000 (Feb/Mar); 14: (in press). Bunnell JE, JS Dumler, SR Lele, TM Shields & GE Glass. 1999. Molecular ecological analysis of Ixodes scapularis, Borrelia burgdorferi, and the HGE agent in the Middle Atlantic region of the USA, pp. 432-435 In: Raoult D & Brouqui P, (eds). Rickettsiae and Rickettsial Diseases at the Turn of the Third Millenium, Elsevier, Paris. Brutsaert W & Parlange MB. The evaporation paradox: an enhanced hydrologic cycle? Nature; Nov 5 Issue, 1998. Chaiyanan, S., S. Chaiyanan, I. Maugel, A. Huq, F. Robb and R. Colwell. 1999. Selected Characteristics of Novel Hallobacillus sp. Isolated from Fish Sauce. System. Appl. Microbiol. 22. Checkley W, Epstein LD, Gilman RH, Figueroa D, Cama RI, Patz JA, Black RE. Effects of the El Niño and ambient temperature on hospital admissions for diarrhoeal diseases in Peruvian children. Lancet 2000; 355: 442-450. Cheng S, Kalkstein LS, Focks DA, Nnaji A. New procedures to estimate water temperatures and water heights for application in climate/dengue modeling. J Med Entomol 1998;35:1-7. Chun, J., A. Huq, and R.R. Colwell. 1999. Identification of Vibrio cholerae based on genes coding for 16S-23S rRNA internal transcribes spacers. Appl. Environ. Microbiol. 652202-2208. Curriero, FC and Lele, SR. A composite likelihood approach to semivariogram estimation. J Agric Biol Envir 1999; S 4 (1): 9-28. Easterling DR. Development of regional climate scenarios using a downscaling approach. Climatic Change 1999;41: (3-4) 615-634. Fisher, A. The Challenges of Communicating Health and Ecological Risk. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment. 1998; 4(3):623-626. Glass GE, Cheek JE, Patz JA, Shields TM, Doyle TJ, Thoroughman DA, Hunt DK, Enscore RE, Gage KL, Irland C, Peters CJ, Bryan R. Using remotely sensed data to identify areas at risk for Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome. Emerging Infectious Diseases 2000 (May-June); 6 (3): in press. Glass GE, Yates T, Patz JA, Cheek JE, Shields TM, Doyle TJ, Thoroughman DA, Hunt DK, Enscore RE, Gage KL, Irland C, Peters CJ, Bryan R. Field validation of satellite generated risk assessment of Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome in the US Southwest following 1997 El Niño-driven flooding. (in preparation for Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences). Graczyk TK, Evans BM, Shiff CJ, Karreman HJ, Patz JA. Environmental and geographical factors contributing to contamination of watershed with Cryptosporidium parvum oocystes. Environ Research. 2000; 82: 263-271. Huq, A. M.A.R. Chowdhury and R.R. Colwell. 1998. Viable but non-culturable microorganisms: public health and epidemiological significance. In: Viable but non-culturable bacteria. R.R. Colwell and J.D. Grimes (eds). Chapter 20. In press. Huq, A., R.R. Colwell and B. Sack. 1999. Case Study: Cholera. In: Ecosystem Change and Public Health – A new curriculum for a global perspective. J.A. Aron and J. Patz, editors. In press. Ivanova, E.P., J. Chun, L.A. Romaniko, M.H. Matte, V.V. Mikailov, G. Frolova, A. Huq and R.R. Colwell. 1999. Reclassification of Alteromonas disticta. Romaneko et al. 1995 as Pseudomonas distincta comb. nov. J. Sys. Bacteriol. Ivanova E.P., L.A. Romaniko, J. Chun, M.H. Matte, G.R. Matte, V.V. Mikailov, V.I. Svetashev, A. Huq, T. Maugel and R.R. Colwell. 1999. Idiomarina gen. nov., comprising novel indigenous deep-sea bacteria from the Pacific Ocean, including descriptions of two species, Indiomarina abyssalia sp. nov., and Indiomarina zobelli sp. nov. Jiang SC, Louis V, Choopun N, Sharma A, Huq A, Colwell RR. Genetic diversity of Vibrio cholerae in Chesapeake Bay determined by amplified fragment length polymorphism fingerprinting. Applied & Environ Microbiol 2000; 66 (1): 140-147. Jiang SC, Matte M, Matte G, Huq A, Colwell RR. Genetic diversity of clinical and environmental isolates of Vibrio cholerae determined by amplified fragment length polymorphism fingerprinting. Applied & Environ Microbiol 2000; 66: (1) 148-153. Kocagil P, Demarteau N, Fisher A, Shortle, JS. 1998. The Value of Preventing Cryptosporidium Contamination. Risk: Health, Safety and Environment. 1998; 9:175-196. Lobitz B, Beck L, Huq A, Wood B, Fuchs G, Faruque ASG, Colwell R. Climate and infectious disease: Use of remote sensing for detection of Vibrio cholerae by indirect measurement. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2000 (Feb);97 (4) 1438-1443. Najjar, RG. The Water balance of the Susquehanna River Basin and its response to climate change. Journal of Hydrology. 1999; 219:7-19. Rose J, Daeschner S, Curriero F, Lele S, Patz J. Applying a Geographic Information System (GIS) to assess the relationship between weather and water-borne diseases in the US: 1972-1994. (Submitted to J AWWA). Szilagyi J and Parlange MB. A geomorphologically-based semi-distributed watershed model. Advances in Water Resources 1999;23:177-187. Watkins, J.D., and A. Huq. 1999. Relationship between oceans and Human Health. In: Global Health in 21st Century. C.E. Koop, C.E. Pearson and M.R. Schwarts, editors. In press.
Articles Under RevisionFocks DA, Patz JA, Oman CS, Hayes J, Brenner RJ, Mearns LO, Kittel FG. Projections of dengue fever transmission and control using an ocean-coupled general circulation model of climate change in southern Texas and northern Mexico. (in preparation for Environ Health Perspect). Gibson, J. R. and R. G. Najjar. 1999. Modeling Chesapeake Bay salinity under climate change. Limnology and Oceanography. (in second review). Gibson, J. R. and R. G. Najjar. 1999. Modeling Chesapeake Bay chlorophyll under climate change (in preparation for Limnology and Oceanography). Graczyk TK, Parlange MB, Evans BM, Shiff CJ, Patz JA. Magnitude of cattle manure runoff in the Pequea creek watershed, Lancaster County, Pennsylvania (in preparation for Water Science and Technology). Kalkstein LS, Schreiber KV, Miller D, Freebery AM, MacInnis J, Glass GE, Focks DA, Patz JA. Simulation model results of Lyme disease infectivity rates in vertebrate hosts under climate change scenarios (in preparation for Am J Public Health). Kocagil, P, J. Shortle, A. Fisher. Cost of Increased Illness from Climate Change. Kocagil, P, J Shortle, K Benson. 2000. "Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the Mid-Atlantic Region." Mid-Atlantic Regional Assessment Foundations Report. The Pennsylvania State University. Najjar, R. G. The Integrated Water Balance of the Susquehanna River Basin: Observations, a Model, and Prediction in Response to Doubled Atmospheric CO2 Climate. (Submitted to Journal of Hydrology). Shortle, J., K. Benson, P. Kocagil, R. Wang. April 1999. MAR Draft Preliminary Human Health Assessment. Working paper in Mid-Atlantic Regional Assessment Draft Preliminary Report on Impacts from Climate Change. Szilagyi J, Parlange MB, Patz JA, Graczyk TK. Modeling watershed runoff under climate scenarios to aid surface water contamination predictions (in preparation). Patz J, Curriero F, Lele S, Daeschner S, Craun G, Rose J. Association between water-borne diseases and extreme precipitation events in the United States: 1940-1994 (In preparation for Am J Public Health). Rose J, Daeschner S, Easterling DR, Curriero F, Lele S, Patz J. Climate and waterborne outbreaks in the US. (Preparing resubmission to J AWWA). Seas C, Mirnada J, Gil A, Leon-Barua R, Patz JA, Huq A, Colwell R, Sack RB, New insights on the emergence of cholera in Latin America during 1991: the Peruvian experience (Submitted to Am J Trop Med Hyg).
ThesesBunnell JE. Pathobiology of Granulocytic Ehrlichiosis, Lyme Borreliosis, and their tick vector in the Middle-Atlantic Region, USA. PhD dissertation, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, 1999. Gibson, Jody. 1999. Modeling Chesapeake Bay Salinity and Phytoplankton Dynamics in Response to Varying Climate. Master’s Thesis. The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 1999: 102 pp.. Swanson, Robert. 2000. The Application of Climate Change Scenarios to the Chesapeake Bay Program's Watershed Model. Master’s Thesis. The Pennsylvania State University. Corradini, Kenneth J. 2000. Developing a methodology for establishing the relationship between environmental/contributing factors and Cryptosporidium in Pennsylvania watersheds. Master’s Thesis. The Pennsylvania State University. Recent Conference presentationsAnderson, Patti. "Impact of Global Climate Change on Human Health." Presented to BioMed Society, CUNY, March 4, 1999. Corradini, Kenneth J. "Developing a methodology for establishing the relationship between environmental/contributing factors and Cryptosporidium in Pennsylvania watersheds." The Pennsylvania State University, Department of Agronomy Seminar Series, February 25, 2000. Focks DA. Simulation Modeling of Dengue in the US under Climate Change Scenarios. Energy Modeling Forum, Snowmass, July, 1999. Gibson, Jody. "Long-Term Observed Salinity Trends in Chesapeake Bay." The AGU-ASLO 2000 Ocean Sciences Meeting in San Antonio, TX (1/22/00-1/28/00). Gibson, J. and R. G. Najjar. "A statistical model of salinity variations in Chesapeake Bay and its application to climate change scenarios." Advisory Committee Meeting of the Mid-Atlantic Regional Assessment of Climate Change Impacts, Pennsylvania State University, May 2-3, 1999. Glass GE. Hantavirus and Lyme disease climate analyses. US Geological Survey, Reston, March 1999. Glass GE. El Niño and hantavirus pulmonary syndrome risk. Society of Epidemiologic Research, Baltimore, June,1999. Glass GE. El Niño and predicting HPS risk. National Environmental Health Association, 1999. Glass GE, Bryan RT, Cheek JE, Yates TL, Ksiazek TG, Mills JN. Remote sensing to predict hantavirus infection in rodents and human disease in the southwestern United States. Annual Conference of the Am Society of Trop Med & Hyg, Washington, Nov. 1999. Graczyk TK, Evans BM, Shiff CJ, Karreman HJ, Patz JA. Environmental and geographical factors contributing to contamination of watershed with Cryptosporidium parvum oocystes. Annual Conference of the Am Society of Trop Med & Hyg, Washington, Nov. 1999. Graczyk TK. Cryptosporidium and agricultural runoff: findings from a climate & health integrated assessment project. Am Society of Parasitology, Monterey, June, 1999. Najjar, R. G. "Climate change, the Susquehanna River and Chesapeake Bay: A preliminary Assessment." Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary, Gloucester Point, VA. April 12, 1999. Najjar, R. G. "The impact of changing climate on the river flow into Chesapeake Bay." Presented at "Impacts of climate change on the Chesapeake Bay Watershed" Issue Forum. Maritime Institute of Technology. Linthicum Heights, MD. May 6, 1999. Najjar, R. G. "Climate change, the Susquehanna River and Chesapeake Bay: A preliminary Assessment." Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA. November 1, 1999. Najjar, R. G. "Climate change, the Susquehanna River and Chesapeake Bay: A preliminary Assessment." Columbia University, New York, NY, November 5, 1999. Patz JA. Human Health Impacts of Climate Variability and Change in the US. AAAS, Washington DC, Feb. 2000. Patz JA and Glass GE. Climate, Ecological Change and Public Health: 2-part lecture series for the American Museum of Natural History, New York, Feb., 2000. Patz JA. Hantavirus Risk and Climate/Ecological Variability. North Carolina Department of Public Health, Greensboro, NC, Feb, 2000. Patz JA. Climate Change, El Niño and Human Health. Seminar Series of the Environmental and Occupational Health Institute, Rutgers/Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, Piscataway, Jan. 2000. Patz JA. Health Effects of Global Environmental Change. Human Health and the Environment in the Twenty-first Century. Western North Carolina Tomorrow, Ashville, Jan. 2000. Patz JA. Association of extreme rainfall and water-borne disease outbreaks. Energy Modeling Forum, Snowmass, July, 1999. Patz JA. Climate Change and Health, International Congress on Ecosystem Health, Davis, August, 1999. Patz JA. Integrated research approaches to climate variability & health studies. US Geological Survey, Reston, March 1999. Patz JA. Research findings from an integrated assessment of climate change and health for the US. College of Sciences’ Distinguished Visitor Seminar, Old Dominion University & Eastern Virginia Medical School, Norfolk, February, 1999. Rose J and Huq A. Co-chairs, Second Colloquium on Climate and Health, American Society of Microbiology. Tuscon, Oct. 1999. Swanson, Robert. "The Application of Climate Change Scenarios to the Chesapeake Bay Program's (CBP) Watershed Model." American Geophysical Union (AGU) Spring 1999 Meeting, Boston, MA (6/99). Swanson, Robert. "The Application of Climate Change Scenarios to the Chesapeake Bay Program's (CBP) Watershed Model." Chesapeake Bay Program’s Watershed Modeling Workshop, St. Michaels, MD. July 13-15, 1999. Swanson, Robert. "The Application of Climate Change Scenarios to the Chesapeake Bay Program's (CBP) Watershed Model." Chesapeake Futures Retreat in Rocky Gap, MD. July 22 23, 1999. Conference Presentations (1997-98)Demarteau, Nadia, Ann Fisher, James S. Shortle. "On the Costs of Illness Associated with Climate Change: A Case Study of Cryptosporidiosis in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania," 10th Conference on Applied Climatology, American Meteorological Society, Reno Nevada, October 20-24, 1997 (2-page paper published in proceedings). Kocagil, Patricia, Ann Fisher, James Shortle, Nadia Demarteau, Barry Evans, Egide Nizeyimana. "Assessing Regional Health Impacts from Climate Change," Regional Science Association International, 44th North American Meetings, Buffalo, NY, November 6-9, 1997. Fisher, Ann, James Shortle, Nadia Demarteau, Andrew Fuentes. "Regional Health Implications of Climate-Induced Variability in Precipitation," Society for Risk Analysis, Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, December 7-10, 1997. Kocagil, Patricia. "A Regional Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Waterborne Disease: The Case of Cryptosporidiosis in Lancaster County, PA," Monthly Seminar Series on Human Dimensions of Global Change, Center for Integrated Regional Assessment, PSU, January, 14, 1998. Kocagil, Patricia, James Shortle, Ann Fisher. "Assessing the Economic Impact of Waterborne Disease." Fourth National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory (NHEERL) Symposium on Research Advances in Risk Assessment, Cary, NC, April 27-30, 1998. Shortle, James, Ann Fisher, Patricia Kocagil. "Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Waterborne Disease." 1998 Spring Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Boston, MA, May 26-29, 1998. Najjar, R. G. "The Integrated Water Balance of the Susquehanna River Basin: Observations, a Model, and Prediction in Response to Doubled Atmospheric CO2 Climate." American Geophysical Union (AGU) Spring 1998 Meeting, Boston, MA, May 26-29, 1998. Najjar, R. G. "Two possible marine biogeochemical responses to increases in atmospheric CO2." Summer Workshop of the Joint Global Ocean Flux Study Synthesis and Modeling Project, Durham, NH (7/98). Najjar, R. G. "Simulation of the water balance of the Susquehanna River Basin under enhanced levels of atmospheric CO2: Implications for Chesapeake Bay." Horn Point Laboratory, University of Maryland, Cambridge, MD. Sept. 23, 1998. Wang, Robin, P. Kocagil, A. Fisher, J. Shortle, "Evaluation of the Impact of Climate Change on Waterborne Cryptosporidiosis." The annual meeting of SETAC (Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry) in Charlotte, NC on November 15-19, 1998. Najjar, R. G. "The Integrated Water Balance of the Susquehanna River Basin: Observations, a Model, and Prediction in Response to Doubled Atmospheric CO2 Climate." American Geophysical Union Fall 1998 Meeting, San Francisco, CA (12/98). Gibson, J. and R. G. Najjar. "A statistical model of salinity variations in Chesapeake Bay and its application to climate change scenarios." American Geophysical Union Fall 1998 Meeting, San Francisco, CA (12/98). Anderson, Patti. "Impact of Global Climate Change on Human Health." Presented to BioMed Society, CUNY, March 4, 1999. Najjar, R. G. "Climate change, the Susquehanna River and Chesapeake Bay: A preliminary Assessment." Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary, Gloucester Point, VA. April 12, 1999. Gibson, J. and R. G. Najjar. "A statistical model of salinity variations in Chesapeake Bay and its application to climate change scenarios." Advisory Committee Meeting of the Mid-Atlantic Regional Assessment of Climate Change Impacts, Pennsylvania State University, May 2-3, 1999. Najjar, R. G. "The impact of changing climate on the river flow into Chesapeake Bay." Presented at "Impacts of climate change on the Chesapeake Bay Watershed" Issue Forum. Maritime Institute of Technology. Linthicum Heights, MD. May 6, 1999. Swanson, Robert. "The Application of Climate Change Scenarios to the Chesapeake Bay Program's (CBP) Watershed Model." American Geophysical Union (AGU) Spring 1999 Meeting, Boston, MA (6/99). Swanson, Robert. "The Application of Climate Change Scenarios to the Chesapeake Bay Program's (CBP) Watershed Model." Chesapeake Bay Program’s Watershed Modeling Workshop, St. Michaels, MD. July 13-15, 1999. Swanson, Robert. "The Application of Climate Change Scenarios to the Chesapeake Bay Program's (CBP) Watershed Model." Chesapeake Futures Retreat in Rocky Gap, MD. July 22-23, 1999. Najjar, R. G. "Climate change, the Susquehanna River and Chesapeake Bay: A preliminary Assessment." Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA. November 1, 1999.
Published Abstracts and Presentations at Scientific MeetingsMatte, G.R., M.H. Matte, J. Chun, A. Huq, R.R. Colwell. Distribution of Genes Encoding Virulence Factors Using Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) in Vibrio cholerae 01, 0139 and non-01/non-0139 strains. American Society for Microbiology 98th Annual Meeting, May 15-23, 1998, Atlanta, GA, USA. Chun, J., A. Huq, and R.R. Colwell. 1998. Identification of Vibrio cholerae based on genes coding for 16S-23S rRNA internal transcribes spacers. Abs# H-116. 98th General meeting, ASM, Atlanta, USA. Huq, A., and R.R. Colwell. 1998. Influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on the Epidemiology and Ecology of V. cholerae in Peru and Bangladesh. July 26-28, 1998, Airlee Center, Virginia, USA. Huq, A., and R.R. Colwell. 1998. Climate and human Health: the cholera saga. Presentation at the Eighth International Symposium on Microbial Ecology, August 9-14, 1998, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. Jiang, S.C., M. Matte, G. Matte, J. Chun, A. Huq and R.R. Colwell. 1998. Phylogenetic Diversity of Vibrio cholera in Environmental and Clinical Isolates Determined by AFLP Fingerprinting. International Symposium on Microbial Ecology, ISME-5. August 9-14, 1998, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. Louis, V., A. Gil, S. Jiang, N. Choopun, B. Wood, C. Parkinson, A. Huq, and R. Colwell. 1998. Using Satellite Remote Sensing to Determine Environmental Parameters of Coastal Ocean Areas Associated with Vibrio cholerae Ecology and Epidemiology. International Conference on Satellites Oceanography and Society. August 17-21, 1998 Lisbon, Portugal. Colwell, R., A. Huq, A. Gil, V. Lewis, C. Grim, and B. Lobitz. 1998. Remote Sensing and Climate Forecasting in the Surveillance of Infectious Disease Risk. Abstr. 47th Annual Meeting of the American Society for Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, October 18-22, San Juan, Puerto Rico. Matte, G.R., M.H. Matte, A. Huq, and R.R. Colwell. 1999. Genotypic Characterization of V. mimicus Using ERIC and BOX Sequences Polymerase Chain Reaction and Pulse Field Gel Electrophoresis. Abs# C-58. Amer Soc Microbiol, 99th Gen. Meet., Chicago, USA. Louis, V., N. Choopun, S.C. Jiang, A. Huq, and R. Colwell. 1999. Detection of V. cholerae in the Chesapeake Bay Related to Environmental Parameters. Abs# N-101. Amer Soc Microbiol, 99th Gen. Meet., Chicago, USA. Jiang, S.C., V. Louis, N. Choopun, A. Sharma, A. Huq, and R.R. Colwell. 1999. Genetic Diversity of V. cholerae Population in the Chesapeake Bay determined by AFLP. 1999. Abs# N-115. Amer Soc Microbiol, 99th Gen. Meet., Chicago, USA.
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